A recent ABP-CVoter opinion poll shared ahead of the Assembly elections in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh – scheduled for later this year – shows the Congress getting a majority in all the three states, with the incumbent BJP falling much behind.
For the 200-seat Rajasthan Assembly, the Congress has been projected to get a whopping 130 seats, while the BJP is getting 57 seats. The projection for the Others is 13. This marks a complete reversal of the number of seats bagged in the 2013 Assembly elections, wherein BJP bagged 163 seats, far ahead of the 21 seats the Congress got.
In terms of the vote share, the Congress is projected to get 50.8 percent, followed by the BJP with 36.8 percent in the upcoming elections. The Others are expected to get 12.4 percent vote share.
In the 2013 Vidhan Sabha elections, BJP had managed to get 45.2 percent vote share, followed by the Congress with 33.1 percent and Others at 21.7 percent.
In the 230-seat Madhya Pradesh Assembly, the Congress is projected to get 117 seats, just above the majority mark, while the BJP is projected to bag 106 seats. The Others are projected to win in 7 seats. Once again, the projections are completely in contrast with the results of the 2013 Assembly elections.
In 2013, the BJP had bagged a whopping 165 seats, with the Congress falling far behind with 58 seats, and Others getting 7 seats.
In terms of vote share, the Congress is projected to be slightly ahead with a 41.7 percent vote share in the upcoming 2018 elections, followed by 40.1 percent share for the BJP. The Others are projected to get 18.2 percent vote share in the 2018 Assembly elections.
In the 2013 Vidhan Sabha elections, the BJP got 44.9 percent vote share, the INC 36.4 percent, and Others 18.7 percent.
Lastly, in the 90-member Chhattisgarh Assembly, the Congress is projected to bag 54 seats in the upcoming elections, followed by 33 going to the BJP. Others are projected to bag 3 seats.
In the 2013 election results of the state, the BJP won 49 seats, followed by 39 seats going to the Congress. Others bagged just two seats.
In terms of vote share, the Congress is projected to get 40 percent vote share in the upcoming elections, with the BJP falling 1.2 percentage points behind at 38.8 percent. Meanwhile, the Others are expected to garner 21.3 percent vote share. In 2013, the BJP got 41 percent vote share, the INC 40.3 percent and Others 18.7 percent.
All three states are currently ruled by the BJP – Rajasthan under Vasundhara Raje, Madhya Pradesh under Shivraj Singh Chouhan, and Chhattisgarh under Raman Singh.