Proof that the Opposition’s "vote chori" campaign has rattled the Election Commission and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) came in the form of a letter from the Chief Electoral Officer of Karnataka to the Leader of Opposition (LoP) Rahul Gandhi, asking him to substantiate his charges of vote theft in the Mahadevapura Assembly segment of the Bangalore Central Lok Sabha seat in the 2024 Parliamentary polls.
This is the first time the EC has officially responded to allegations of electoral manipulation through voter lists, fake voter IDs, and other kinds of fraud.
The Bangalore Central seat was narrowly won by the BJP with a margin of 32,707 votes.
Gandhi has alleged that 1,00,250 "fake votes" were created in the Mahadevapura assembly segment to ensure a BJP victory. Among the various examples he cited to buttress his claims was that of Shakun Rani. Two voter ID cards were reportedly issued in her name and both were used during the polling process.
EC's Credibility on the Line
The very fact that the Karnataka CEO was asked to respond in writing is enough indication that the EC is feeling the heat. When Gandhi first hit the EC with the charge of "match-fixing" in last year’s Maharashtra Assembly polls in a detailed article in The Indian Express, the Commission chose to personally target him instead of responding to the points he had made. It rubbished him as "delusional", among other epithets, through media reports attributed to "sources".
While the EC hid behind anonymity, the BJP went hammer and tongs at Gandhi with its IT cell chief Amit Malaviya unleashing a spate of furious remarks aimed at tarnishing his image rather than countering his charges with specific arguments.
The same toolkit was used this time as well when Gandhi unfurled data collected by Congress researchers after six months of painstaking investigation in Mahadevapura.
However, the effort to discredit Gandhi with personal slurs sank under the intensity of an angry blowback from a united Opposition.
The dinner hosted by Gandhi to officially launch the "vote chori" campaign had the EC scrambling for cover. It came out with a half-hearted attempt to fact-check Gandhi but it failed to respond to the specifics of his allegations.
Although it was Trinamool Congress leader Mamata Banerjee who had flagged the issue of duplicate voter ID cards back in February this year, it is only now that opposition parties have coalesced into a united front to take the EC and the BJP head on.
After months of disarray in their ranks, opposition parties have finally found an issue that unites them. Even Maharashtra doyen Sharad Pawar, who has been playing cat and mouse with the INDIA bloc after the Maha Vikas Aghadi's (MVA) wipeout in Maharashtra last November, has thrown his weight behind the campaign.
Nothing unites Opposition parties more than an upcoming election in which they face the challenge of the BJP’s poll machine, once seen as formidable but now increasingly coming under scrutiny in the face of disturbing questions about the role of the EC in vitiating a process that should be free and fair in a vibrant democracy like India’s.
The slogan, 'vote chori' resonates with all opposition parties, even those that are not formally members of the INDIA bloc, like the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP).
Their unity was on full display at the demonstration outside the EC headquarters in New Delhi where 300-odd non-BJP MPs had gathered.
After a long, long time, Opposition leaders were on the streets, scuffling with the police and attempting to storm barricades in a throwback to the days when physical protests were the hallmark of politics, not tweets on social media from the comfort of an armchair.
The campaign could not have come at more inopportune moment for the EC and the BJP. Virtually all opposition parties will be fighting assembly polls in some part of the country over the next two years. "Vote chori" is a slogan that resonates with all as the BJP makes a determined bid to expand its footprint and capture power in states that have eluded them so far.
Bihar Polls a Litmus Test
In Bihar later this year, the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) and Congress will face the BJP-led NDA. Next year, Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress (TMC) will fight the BJP in West Bengal while Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) will be challenged by the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) BJP alliance in Tamil Nadu. In 2027, the AAP faces an election in Punjab, their last bastion after losing Delhi this year.
And then, later that year, comes the mother of all elections in UP where the Samajwadi Party (SP) and Congress will try to repeat their Lok Sabha's windfall to dislodge the BJP from its most consequential stronghold.
The timing then is fortuitous for opposition parties to set aside their differences and join hands, much to the discomfiture of the BJP.
It remains to be seen where the "vote chori" campaign is headed. On the face of it, the slogan strikes at the very heart of our democracy by questioning the fairness of the electoral process. Yet, a full investigation of possible voter fraud, followed by an overhaul of the system, if the charge is found to be correct, is clearly impossible at this stage with elections looming on the horizon.
Opposition's Best Bet
Opposition parties have two main goals. One is to present a united front after months of disarray. The other is to raise the pitch so high that both EC and BJP will be on their guard during the upcoming elections.
After Gandhi’s press conference and the demonstration at the EC headquarters, the next stop is a dharna in Patna to raise awareness of voters and put EC on watch. The culmination of the dharna will be an all-party show of strength in early September, through which the Opposition hopes to grab eyeballs across the country.
However, as emerged from discussions over the dinner hosted by Gandhi, the real fight is on the ground, at the booth level. Opposition parties will have to fan out workers among voters to check IDs and ensure that they are in order. And on voting day, they will have to be alert for possible fraud and manipulation, if any.
This is easier said than done, largely because except for the TMC and DMK, most other Opposition parties have allowed their organisational muscle to decay.
TMC MP Derek O’Brien said his party leader Abhishek Banerjee stressed the importance of booth-level vigilance for a free and fair election and urged other leaders present at Gandhi’s dinner to concentrate on this in the coming months.
The motto remains: Be prepared on the ground.
(Arati R Jerath is a Delhi-based senior journalist. She tweets @AratiJ. This is an opinion piece, and the views expressed above are the author’s own. The Quint neither endorses nor is responsible for the same.)