Assam Exit Polls: 3 Surveys Predict Marginal Majority for NDA

Catch all the live updates on the Assam exit polls here.

Updated
Assam
3 min read
Assam Exit Poll 2021
i

With the Model Code of Conduct (MCC) being lifted on Thursday, 29 April, several exit polls for the Assam Assembly elections predicted a victory for the NDA and massive gains for the UPA.

Three out of four surveys – CVoter, India Today-Axis My India, and Republic-CNX – predicted a majority for the BJP-led alliance. Today's Chanakya predicted a range of 61-79 seats for the NDA, with the majority mark at 63.

According to the CVoter survey, the UPA is expected to register a significant gain in vote share – from 31% in 2016 to 48.8% in 2021.

Assam Exit Polls: 3 Surveys Predict Marginal Majority for NDA
Snapshot
  • The results of the Assam Assembly elections will be declared on 2 May
  • The elections in the state were held from 27 March to 6 April, in three phases
  • Jailed activist and prominent peasant leader Akhil Gogoi and other candidates of his party, Raijor Dal, fought the elections as Independents
  • During the last Assembly elections in 2016, the BJP had allied with AGP and BPF, which have three ministers in the Assam Cabinet headed by Chief Minister Sarbananda Sonowal

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8:23 PM , 29 Apr
KEY EVENT

3 Surveys Predict BJP-led Alliance to Likely Retain Power in Assam

The BJP-led alliance is likely to retain power in Assam, according to three exit poll surveys.

Assam Exit Polls: 3 Surveys Predict Marginal Majority for NDA
8:07 PM , 29 Apr
KEY EVENT

CVoter Vote Projection

According to the CVoter survey, 42.9 percent of votes are expected to go to the BJP-led alliance. The UPA is expected to register a significant gain of the vote share from 31% in 2016 to 48.8% in 2021. The remaining 8.3 percent are expected to go to Others.

Assam Exit Polls: 3 Surveys Predict Marginal Majority for NDA
7:54 PM , 29 Apr
KEY EVENT

Today's Chanakya Seat Projection

BJP-led Alliance: 70 ± 9 Seats
Congress-led Alliance: 56 ± 9 Seats
Others 00 ± 3 Seats

Assam Exit Polls: 3 Surveys Predict Marginal Majority for NDA
7:34 PM , 29 Apr
KEY EVENT

India Today - Axis My India and Republic-CNX Predict Majority for NDA

According to the India Today - Axis My India exit poll, BJP-led alliance in Assam is expected to get a majority with 75 to 85 seats, the Congress-led Mahajot alliance to win 40 to 50 seats and Others to win one to 4 seats in the Assembly.

Assam Exit Polls: 3 Surveys Predict Marginal Majority for NDA

Meanwhile, Republic - CNX exit poll also projects BJP-led alliance to win a majority with 74 to 84 seats, while Congress-led mahajot alliance is projected to win 40 to 50 and Others will win one to 3 seats.

Assam Exit Polls: 3 Surveys Predict Marginal Majority for NDA

Published: 29 Apr 2021, 6:27 PM IST