Assam Exit Poll Figures Predict a Win for BJP-led Alliance

Exit poll projections for Assam, live for you.

Tarun Gogoi (centre) at AICC headquarters in New Delhi. (Photo: PTI)

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What We Know So Far

In the biggest popularity test since the Lok Sabha polls of 2014, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) appeared poised to win in Assam for the first time, ending 15 long years of Congress rule. BJP leaders had admitted even before the start of the staggered elections last month that the party’s best chances lay in Assam.

The BJP-led alliance could bag 79 to 93 seats in the 126-member Assam assembly, three exit polls said. A fourth survey gave the BJP and its two allies - Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) and Bodoland People’s Front (BPF) - 57 seats, close to the critical half-way mark.

Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 11:07 PM

The exit poll predictions for Assam assembly elections. (Photo: The Quint)

Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 7:54 PM

CM Tarun Gogoi Still Confident of a Win

Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 8:51 PM

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The Quint discusses West Bengal and Assam exit polls with senior journalists, Mayank Mishra and Abheek Barman

Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 8:48 PM

• Assam assembly election was held in two phases.
  
• There are 126 seats in Assam.
  
• The first phase, for 65 seats was concluded on 4 April.
• The second and final phase, for 61 seats was concluded on 11 April.
• The final date of counting votes is 19 May.
• This year saw the highest voter turnout in Assam.
• Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi (Congress) has been in power for 15 years.
• In the last elections in Assam, the Congress won 78 seats, the AIUDF 18 and the BJP five seats.
  
• Exit poll predictions from 16 May predicts a win for BJP-led alliance.

Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 11:11 PM

Assam CM Tarun Gogoi Speaks out on Exit Polls

I trust people of Assam, they know how much development has happened under us. 

Tarun Gogoi, Chief Minister, Assam

The way BJP saffronizes education as well, it is dangerous for the country.

Tarun Gogoi, Chief Minister, Assam

I am still confident of win in Assam

Tarun Gogoi, Chief Minister, Assam

Not threatened by BJP. 2014 was an all-India wave. Modi divided between Hindus and Muslims 

Tarun Gogoi, Chief Minister, Assam

Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 8:55 PM

The Big Contenders in Assam Speak Out

The problem with Congress is, unless they’re on their death bed, they don’t want to go into an alliance

Himanta Biswa, BJP, Assam

People have voted for development. These votes are based on the work the Centre has done, it is not a religious vote.

Sabrananda Sonowal, BJP front-runner in Assam

Even before polls we believed we were going to get a majority (in Assam)

Seshadri Chari, BJP

Irrespective of exactly how many seats BJP wins finally on 19th, one common thread in all exit polls is that it would be a BJP govt in Assam

Ram Madhav, National General Secretary, BJP

We should have followed a Bihar-like policy and collected an anti-BJP front here (in Assam) too.

Mani Shankar Aiyar, Indian National Congress

Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 10:55 PM

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Chanakya Exit Poll Predicts BJP Win

BJP+: 90 ± 9
Congress+: 27 ± 7
AIUDF :9 ± 3
Others:0 ± 2 Seats

Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 10:22 PM

C-Voter Exit-Poll Predictions, BJP-Congress Close

BJP + 57
Cong 41
AUDF 18
Others 10

Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 7:02 PM

India Today - Axis Predicts BJP Win

BJP+: 79-93,
Congress: 26-33,
AIUDF: 6-11

Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 7:41 PM

Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 6:54 PM

The BJP-led alliance is all set to form the government in Assam with 81 seats, according to exit polls conducted by ABP-Nielsen. The Congress is predicted to get 33 seats according to the same survey.

Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 6:53 PM

This year witnessed the highest number of voter turnout in the state.

The first phase of the polls registered a record 82.2%, while the second phase registered 84.72% .

Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 6:53 PM

Photo: www.elections.in

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Updated at:16th May, 2016 at 6:53 PM