BJP Likely To Retain Power in UP, Exit Polls Predict Comfortable Margin

Catch the exit poll results for Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections here.
The Quint
Uttar Pradesh Election
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UP Exit Poll Results LIVE Updates:

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<div class="paragraphs"><p>UP Exit Poll Results LIVE Updates:</p></div>
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The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is likely to retain power in Uttar Pradesh with a comfortable margin, exit polls results predicted on Monday, 7 March.

As per the Times Now-Veto exit polls, the Bharatiya Janata Party is slated to win 225 seats and retain power in UP, despite garnering 100 less seats than what it won in 2017. The ABP-CVoter has projected 228-244 seats for the BJP, while ZeeNews-DesignBoxed has predicted 223-248 seats for the saffron party.

Meanwhile, India Today-Axis My India, as well as News24-Today's Chanakya have predicted a sweep by the incumbent BJP and their allies in Uttar Pradesh.

The polling for the seventh and last phase of Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections ended on Monday, bringing the month-long exercise to a close. The counting of votes will be held on 10 March.

The Samajwadi Party-Rashtriya Lok Dal alliance and the Congress have been dubbed as key players in the state, besides the incumbent BJP.

  • Uttar Pradesh polled in seven phases

  • Polling began in the state on 10 February

  • A voter turnout of 53.31 percent was recorded in the sixth phase of polling in the state

Over 55% Voter Turnout Recorded in UP Phase 6 Polls

A voter turnout of 55.79 percent was recorded on Thursday, 3 March, as polling for the penultimate phase of the seven-phase Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections, spanning 10 districts and 57 seats, concluded.

Incumbent Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath made his Assembly election debut in this phase. He contested from Gorakhpur Urban seat.

7th Phase of UP Polls Ends Today

The seventh and last phase of Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections will conclude at 6 pm on Monday, 7 March.

Analysis: Data Shows Why Akhilesh Yadav's Fans & Critics May Both Be Wrong

What Akhilesh Yadav has achieved may be unprecedented for the Samajwadi Party. But is it enough to defeat BJP in UP? In an analysis piece, The Quint’s political editor Aditya Menon delves into a key aspect that has often been ignored—both by SP's critics and even supporters: the enormity of the challenge before the party.

Read the full story here.

Ground Report: Once Loyal BJP Voters, Varanasi's Boatmen are Upset with Modi-Yogi

Ahead of the 2017 Uttar Pradesh elections, Pramod Manjhi, a boatman in Varanasi’s Shivala Ghat, was joyous at the prospect of BJP coming to power in the state. A self-proclaimed “former Modi-Bhakt”, Manjhi is seething with rage today.

The boatmen on Varanasi's ghats blame Modi and Yogi for increasing privatisation and the lockdown woes.

Watch The Quint’s ground report here.

54.76% Voter Turnout Recorded in Phase 7 of UP Polls

As polling comes to a close in Uttar Pradesh, 56.76 percent voter turnout was recorded in Uttar Pradesh in the seventh and final phase of the polls.

BJP to Retain Power in UP: Times Now Exit Poll

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is predicted to retain power in Uttar Pradesh, according to the Times Now-Veto exit polls. The party is slated to win 225 seats in the Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections, as per the exit poll, which is nearly 100 seats less than what the party won in the 2017 elections.

Meanwhile, the SP is predicted to win 151 seats, BSP 14, the Congress 9, and others 4

India Today-Axis My India Predicts a Sweep by BJP

India Today-Axis My India has predicted a sweep by the incumbent BJP and their allies in Uttar Pradesh.

While the BJP+ has been projected to garner 288-326 seats, here is how the other parties are predicted to fare:

  • SP+ : 71-101

  • BSP: 3-9

  • Congress: 1-3

  • Other: 2-3

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Times Now-Veto Exit Poll: Phase-Wise Predictions for the BJP

  • Phase 1: 31 seats

  • Phase 2: 31 seats

  • Phase 3: 94 seats

  • Phase 4: 38 seats

  • Phase 5: 38 seats

  • Phase 6: 29 seats

  • Phase 7: 26 seats

News24-Today’s Chanakya: Vote Share Predictions

According to predictions by News24-Today’s Chanakya, vote share may be divided in the state as follows:

  • BJP+: (±3)43%

  • SP+: (±3)35%

  • BSP: (±3)13%

  • Congress: (±4)04%

  • Others: ((±3) 05%

News24-Today's Chanakya Projects Big Win for The BJP

News24-Today’s Chanakya has also predicted a big BJP win in Uttar Pradesh.

According to News24-Today’s Chanakya, BJP and its allies will garner 294 (±19) seats. Here’s how other parties are expected to fare:

  • SP: 105 (±19)

  • BSP: 02 (±02)

  • Congress: 01 (±01)

  • Others: 01 (±01)

Zee News-DesignBoxed Too Predicts a Win for the BJP

Zee News-DesignBoxed, too, has predicted a BJP win in the Uttar Pradesh Assembly polls, projecting 223-248 seats for the saffron party.

Meanwhile, the SP is expected to win 138-157 seats, the BSP 5-11 seats, the Congress 4-9 seats, and others 3-5 seats.

ABP-CVoter Projects a Win For the BJP

ABP-CVoter has also predicted a win for the BJP, but with fewer seats than what India Today and News24 exit polls have projected.

As per the ABP-CVoter projections, BJP and its allies are projected to garner 228-244 seats. Here’s how other parties have fared in the ABP-CVoter exit polls:

SP+:132-148 seats
BSP: 13-21 seats
Congress: 4-8 seats
Others: 2-6 seats

'It Would Be Phenomenal': Amit Malviya Reacts to Exit Poll Results

Claiming that it would be the first time since independence that a Chief Minister would complete a full term and then get re-elected in Uttar Pradesh, Amit Malviya, in-charge of BJP’s National Information and Technology Department, said “it would be phenomenal” if the exit poll predictions were to come true.

'Record of 30 Years Will Be Broken': Siddharth Nath Singh

UP minister Siddharth Nath Singh also celebrated the exit poll predictions and said that if they were to come true “the record of 30 years will be broken," according to ANI.

'We Will Form Govt With Majority': Nishad Party Founder

Nishad Party founder, Sanjay Nishad, a BJP ally, hailed the exit poll predictions.

ANI quoted him as saying:

"All exit polls are showing lead for the BJP. This election was based on PM Modi and CM Yogi's development and welfare schemes. People have realised it and voted for BJP. We will going to form government with majority."

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Published: 07 Mar 2022,05:02 PM IST

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