CNN News18-IPSOS Exit Poll: Modi Wave to Sweep 2019, UPA to Get 82
The coalition or party that wins more than 271 seats will form the 17th Lok Sabha.
The CNN News18-IPSOS survey predicted that the NDA alliance will get 336 seats, with the BJP alone expected to win 276 seats.
While the other parties like TDP, TRS, SP, BSP are expected to get 124 seats, the Congress party is predicted to win 82 seats.
The Samajwadi Party-Bahujan Samaj Party (SP-BSP) alliance which is expected to play a key role in government formation, is expected to win only about 17-19 seats. Trinamool Congress is expected to sweep West Bengal, while Naveen Patnaik is likely to emerge victorious in Odisha.
The coalition or party that wins more than 272 seats will form the 17th Lok Sabha.
- While the NDA is predicted to win 336 seats, the BJP is expected to win 276 on their own
- The Congress party is predicted to win 47 seats on their own
- A total of 199 parliamentary constituencies were selected out of 543 constituencies across 28 states for the survey
Follow Exit Polls from Chanakya, Axis My India, Times Now-VMR and Nielsen here.
(At The Quint, we are answerable only to our audience. Play an active role in shaping our journalism by becoming a member. Because the truth is worth it.)
Lok Sabha Elections 2019: What Has Happened So Far?
The 2019 Lok Sabha elections, one of the most bitterly fought ones so far, were contested in seven phases in April and May.
Voting commenced on 11 April and came to an end on 19 May across 542 constituencies, marked by controversial speeches across the political spectrum, questions raised over the Election Commission's functioning and reports of intermittent violence, especially in West Bengal.
The key states to look out for are Uttar Pradesh, with its 80 seats; Maharashtra, with 48 seats; West Bengal, with 42 seats; and Bihar, with 40 seats.
A three-cornered contest is being witnessed in UP, with the BJP taking on the Mahagathbandhan (SP+BSP+RLD) and the Congress. In Maharashtra, the Congress-NCP combine is fighting the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance.
Trying to make inroads into West Bengal, the BJP is locked in a bitter contest with the Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress in the state.
In Bihar, the RJD-Congress alliance (along with other smaller parties) is fighting the NDA coalition comprising Nitish Kumar's JD(U), BJP and Ram Vilas Paswan's LJP.
What The 2014 Exit Polls Predicted
In 2014, most exit polls showed an NDA victory, but barring Today’s Chanakya, none of them could correctly predict that the BJP led by Narendra Modi would storm to power with an absolute majority of its own, a feat achieved for the first time since 1984.
Here are there predictions for 2014:
India Today-Cicero
- NDA: 261
- UPA: 110
- Others: 150
CNN-IBN-CSDS
- NDA: 270
- UPA: 92
- Others: 159
India TV-CVoter
- NDA: 289
- UPA: 100
- Others: 153
News 24-Chanakya
- NDA: 340
- UPA: 70
- Others: 133
Actual Result:
- NDA: 336
- UPA: 60
- Others: 147
Exit Polls 2019: Rahul Gandhi Takes a Dig at PM Modi's Kedarnath Visit
Congress President Rahul Gandhi took a swipe at Prime Minister Narendra Modi after he went to a holy cave at Kedarnath to meditate as the 2019 Lok Sabha elections concluded.
News18 Exit Polls: First Phase of Lok Sabha Seats: NDA to Win 38-42 Seats Out of 91 Constituencies
In the first phase where 91 constituencies went to polls, the parties are expected to win:
CNN 2019 Exit Polls: TRS, YSRCP to Lead in Telangana, Andhra Pradesh
Jaganmohan Reddy-led YSR Congress is expected to emerge with the most seats in Andhra Pradesh at 13-14. The TDP, led by Chandrababu Naidu, is expected to win 10-12 seats.
K Chandrashekar Rao-led Telangana Rashtra Samiti is expected to win 12-14 out of the 17 constituencies in the state.
CNN Exit Polls 2019: BJP Likely to Clinch Uttarakhand
The Bharatiya Janata Party, which is in power in the state, is expected to clinch at least 4 of the 5 seats.
CNN Exit Polls 2019: DMK Expected to Win 22-24 Seats Out of 39 in Tamil Nadu
In Tamil Nadu, which went to polls in the second phase, the OPS-EPS led AIADMK is expected to lose a majority of seats they won in 2014. The AIADMK and the BJP are slipping from 39 to 14-16 seats.
The DMK led by Stalin is expected to surge with 22-24 seats.
CNN Exit Polls 2019: BJP Likely to Win More in First Three Phases
CNN Exit Polls 2019: LDF Likely to Win Big in Kerala, No BJP Surge Predicted
The Pinarayi Vijayan led LDF is expected to win at least 11-13 seats in Kerala, while the UDF, led by Congress is expected to win about 7-9 seats.
CNN News 18 Exit Polls: BJP Likely to Surge Ahead in Karnataka
CNN News 18 Exit Polls: BJP to Sweep Maharashtra, Congress to Win 4-6 Seats
CNN Exit Polls: BJP to Sweep Chhattisgarh, Assam & North East
Chhattisgarh:
- BJP+: 7-9
- CONG+: 2-4
- OTHERS: 0
Assam:
- BJP+: 8-10
- CONGRESS+: 2-4
- AIUDF: 2
Other North East States:
- BJP+: 17-19
- CONGRESS+: 4-6
- OTHERS: 2
CNN News 18 Exit Polls: TMC to Sweep West Bengal, BJP to Win 3-7 Seats
CNN News 18 Exit Polls: SP-BSP Alliance to Win 17-19 Seats
In Uttar Pradesh, the SP-BSP alliance, which was expected to win big, is likely to clinch only 17-19 seats, said the CNN News18-IPSOS survey.
CNN News 18 Exit Polls: BJD to Lead in Odisha, BJP Gains
- BJD+: 12-14
- BJP: 6-8
- OTHERS: 1-2
CNN News 18 Exit Polls: BJP to Sweep Rajasthan, to Win 22-23 Seats
In Rajasthan, where the Congress party recently formed the assembly elections, is expect to win only two or three Lok Sabha seats out of 25.
- BJP: 22-23
- CONGRESS: 2-3
CNN News 18 Exit Polls: BJP to Sweep Delhi, AAP to Get Zero
CNN News 18 Exit Polls: BJP-JD(U) Alliance to Triumph Over Cong-RJD in Bihar
In Bihar, where the BJP and Nitish Kumar-led JD(U) are up against the Congress and RJD, the NDA is expected to emerge victorious.
- NDA: 34-36
- UPA: 4-6
- OTHERS: 0
CNN News 18 Exit Polls: Gujarat to Go the Usual BJP Way
CNN News 18 Exit Polls: Haryana to Swing the BJP Way
In Haryana, the BJP is expected to win 6-8 seats, while the AAP alliance is expected to win zero.
- BJP: 6-8
- Congress: 2-4
CNN News 18 Exit Polls: Madhya Pradesh Likely to Choose BJP
In Madhya Pradesh, where the Congress party recently won the assembly elections, the BJP is predicted to emerge victorious.