Upset About Exit Polls? Don’t Worry, Voters Could Be ‘Lying’

The basic assumption on which the polls are made – that the voter is telling the truth – may not always be correct.

The exit polls are generally a better barometer of the election results and trends than the opinion polls. The general consensus among exit polls is that the NDA is coming back. The BJP by itself may just fall short of a majority.

The exit polls this time have broken the trend of the past few years, in which they had failed to present a clear picture. On most occasions, the exit polls were seen delivering ‘hung verdicts’, but this time, there is unanimity, although the numbers and ranges differ across polls.

Although the exit polls may not be able to accurately predict the seats and vote shares, they are generally able to indicate the direction of the trend correctly.