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BJP-PDP Split: 64% Rise in Terror Attacks in J&K in 3 Years

Over 800 terror incidents have been reported in J&K over the three years ending 2017, up from 208 in 2015.

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There was a 64 percent rise in terror incidents in Jammu and Kashmir over three years to 2017, providing some perspective to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) decision to call off its three-year alliance with the People’s Democratic Party (PDP).

Over 800 terror incidents have been reported in J&K over the three years ending 2017 – up from 208 in 2015 to 342 in 2017 – according to an IndiaSpend analysis of government data.
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As many as 744 people died in these three years: 471 terrorists, 201 security forces and 72 civilians, the data shows.

It was amidst this scenario eight months ago that home minister Rajnath Singh said the situation in the conflict ridden state was “improving”.

“I don’t want to claim that everything is completely fine but things are improving, this I can say with firm belief,” Singh said on 11 September 2017.

The state saw the most terror incidents in 2017 since 2010, which saw 488 incidents.

J&K witnessed the fewest terror incidents (170) over the last 28 years in 2013. Since then, incidents have more than doubled over the last four years to 2017.

BJP-PDP Split After Three Years Of Alliance

The PDP and the BJP formed a coalition government in Jammu & Kashmir in March 2015. Since then armed encounters between militants and security forces have increased by 53 percent over the preceding three years, IndiaSpend reported on 18 May 2018. In 247 encounters recorded from 2015 to 2017, 439 militants (including 156 Kashmiris) and 200 government forces (including 109 army personnel) were killed.

The rift between the two parties widened following the central government’s decision to resume anti-terror operations in the state after Ramzan, NDTV reported on 19 June, 2018.

“We have taken a decision, it is untenable for BJP to continue in alliance with PDP in Jammu & Kashmir, hence we are withdrawing,” Ram Madhav, BJP national general secretary said.

Mehbooba Mufti Resigns As J&K Chief Minister

The withdrawal of support by the BJP led to the resignation by chief minister Mehbooba Mufti.

I am not shocked. We didn’t do this alliance for power. This alliance had a bigger motive- unilateral ceasefire, PM’s visit to Pakistan, withdrawal of cases against 11,000 youth.
Mehbooba Mufti, former J&K chief minister said on the withdrawal of BJP from the alliance

With the chief minister resigning, the state is likely to be under Governor’s rule. This is the eighth time governor’s rule is being imposed on the state.

The PDP won 28 of 87 seats in the 2014 state assembly elections with the BJP coming second with 25. By quitting the J&K government, the BJP is now in power in 19 of 29 states.

J&K Saw Most Terror Incidents In 1995

J&K saw the most terror incidents (5,938) in 1995 in which 1,332 terrorists were killed and 1,031 civilians and 237 security forces lost their lives.

In 2001, the state saw most (2,020) terrorist deaths and maximum security forces (536) lost their lives.

Over 800 terror incidents have been reported in J&K over the three years ending 2017, up from 208 in 2015.
Over 800 terror incidents have been reported in J&K over the three years ending 2017, up from 208 in 2015.

More than 70,000 terror incidents have been reported in J&K over the last 28 years ending 2017, in which 22,143 terrorists were killed and 13,976 civilians and 5,123 soldiers lost their lives.

J&K was rocked by a series of killings last week: Journalist Shujaat Bukhari was shot dead on 13 June, and rifleman Aurangzeb Khan of the Indian army was kidnapped and killed on 14 June.

The United Nations released a report on 14 June, 2018, alleging violations of human rights and abuses by India in J&K.

The central government called for a Ramzan ceasefire on 16 May 2018, asking the security forces not to launch anti-terror operations during the period in a move to reduce violence and tension in the state.

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However, 60 terror incidents and 39 deaths – including six civilians, nine security personnel and 24 terrorists – were reported in J&K during the the ceasefire, Deccan Herald reported on 17 June 2018.

No Respite From Stone-pelting

As many as 39 incidents were reported during the first 16 days of Ramzan in May 2018 as against 195 incidents last year, Hindustan Times reported on 6 June 2018.

Between January and April this year, 245 incidents of stone pelting on central reserve police force were reported, in which 71 security personnel were injured.

As many as 4,799 stone pelting incidents were reported in J&K between 2015 and 2017, IndiaSpend reported on 18 May 2018.

Over 4,000 first information reports against 14,315 stone pelters have been registered during the last three years in the state, according to this reply to the J&K legislative council on 7 February 2018.

Comments have been coming in from political leaders on the sudden withdrawal of the BJP from the coalition government.

(This story was first published on Indiaspend and has been republished with permission.)

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