‘ABP-CVoter’ Survey: Modi to Be PM in 2019, UPA Vote Share to Rise
The ABP News survey would reflect the trends of public opinion for the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.
The ABP News survey would reflect the trends of public opinion for the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.(Photo: Altered by Harsh Sahani/The Quint)

‘ABP-CVoter’ Survey: Modi to Be PM in 2019, UPA Vote Share to Rise

The ABP News-CVoter ‘Desh ka Mood’ survey predicted that Prime Minister Modi will return for a second term in 2019. The vote share of NDA and UPA will be 38 percent and 25 percent respectively, the survey predicted.

Here are the seat share projections:

Here are the vote share projections:

543/543 Lok Sabha seats: NDA - 38% | UPA - 25% | Others - 37%

Snapshotclose

  • The Congress would be able to make big gains in Uttar Pradesh in the 2019 elections, if it joins hands with the SP-BSP alliance
  • According to the survey, the NDA will be behind the UPA in the southern states
  • The survey seeks to reflect the trends of public opinion for the 2019 Lok Sabha elections

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ABP News-CVoter Survey Had Predicted BJP Loss in MP, Rajasthan & Chhattisgarh Earlier

In August, an ABP-CVoter opinion poll shared ahead of the Assembly elections in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh showed the Congress getting a majority in all the three states, with the incumbent BJP falling much behind.

Three Scenarios in Uttar Pradesh

The ABP News-CVoter ‘Desh ka Mood’ survey predicts that the Congress would be able to make big gains in Uttar Pradesh in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, if it joins hands with the SP-BSP alliance. The Mahagathbandhan will win no less than 56 of 80 seats in the state.

However, if the parties don't go the Mahagathbandhan way, the NDA could clinch as many as 70 seats.

The third scenario would emerge if the Congress decides to not enter into an alliance with the SP-BSP.

Two Scenarios in Bihar

In Bihar, there are two possibilities, according to the ABP News-CVoter survey. If the Mahagathbandhan is the way forward, the UPA, with the RSLP and LJP in its alliance partners, is expected to win 18 seats, with the NDA edging ahead with 22 seats.

If the NDA remains intact, then the alliance is expected to get 31 seats, with the UPA getting a dismal 9 seats.

If LS Polls are Held Today in MP, NDA to Win Big

If polls are held in Madhya Pradesh today, then the survey expects the NDA to win a whopping 23 seats, with the UPA polling a mere 6 seats.

NDA to Win 9 Seats in Chhattisgarh

If the Lok Sabha polls were to be held today in Chhattisgarh, then the NDA is expected to win 9 of the 11 seats, the survey predicted.

NDA - 9 seats

UPA - 2 seats

NDA to Win Rajasthan Despite Anti-Incumbency Wave

Despite there being an anti-incumbency wave against Vasundhara Raje, the NDA is expected to win 18 of the 25 seats in the Lok Sabha elections.

Three Scenarios in Maharashtra

If the BJP and Shiv Sena split, and the NCP and Congress join forces in Maharashtra, it spells advantage UPA, the ABP News-CVoter survey predicted. According to the survey, the UPA is expected to poll 30 of 48 seats, should the scenario play out.

If BJP stays with Shiv Sena and the NCP stays with the Congress, then the NDA is expected win to big, polling about 36 seats, the survey predicted.

If all parties contest individually, NDA is expected to get the maximum seats.

BJP to Win Big in Odisha

According to the predictions, the BJP will win majority of the seats in Odisha with the ruling Biju Janata Dal ranking second.

NDA to Sweep North-East

The survey predicted that NDA will sweep the North-East.

UPA a Clear Winner in Punjab

According to the survey, the UPA will be a clear winner in Congress-ruled Punjab.

NDA Ahead of UPA in Haryana

The survey predicted that the NDA will get six seats in Haryana, while the UPA will be behind with three seats.

BJP to Win All Seats in the National Capital

The survey predicted that BJP would win all seven seats in Delhi.

NDA on the Back Foot in South

According to the survey, the NDA will will be behind the UPA in the southern states.

NDA to Get 38% Vote Share

The vote share of NDA and UPA will be 38 percent and 25 percent respectively, the survey predicted.

Modi to Return for a Second Term as PM in 2019: Survey

The ABP News-CVoter ‘Desh ka Mood’ survey predicted that Prime Minister Modi will return for a second term in 2019.

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