Does higher seat-tally in Lok Sabha also mean higher win-margins for parties in the winning seats? Or does a hung Parliament mean lower victory-margins and close contests?
The data of Lok Sabha elections since 1984 indicate an affirmative answer to the above question. Which means that more decisive the mandate, more is the average win-margin of the winning party.
The below interactive infographic shows how:
Win-margin is the difference between vote-share of the winner and the runner-up candidate. Average win-margin of a party is calculated by dividing the sum of the win-margins across constituencies by the total number of winning candidates of that party in a particular election. The average helps evening out the differing factors of constituencies like number of electors, voter-turnouts, etc.