India Today-Axis Exit Poll: Over 330 Seats for NDA, 62-68 in UP
The post-poll projections come after voting for the seventh and last phase of the Lok Sabha elections ended.
The India Today-Axis My India exit poll has predicted an overwhelming majority of 339-365 seats for the NDA in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, while the UPA would get just 77-108 seats and Others 69-95 seats.
In Uttar Pradesh, the exit poll has predicted a seat share of 62-68 for the NDA, 10-16 seats for the Mahagathbandhan (SP+BSP+RLD) and 1-2 seats for the UPA.
A clean sweep for NDA in Bihar has also been predicted, with the alliance getting 38-40 seats, while the Congress+ is projected to get 0-2.
The BJP is also predicted to make massive inroads in West Bengal, with a projected seat share of 19-23, while the TMC might get 19-22 seats. The Congress is predicted to get 0-1, while the Left would be reduced to 0.
- A clean sweep for the BJP is predicted in Delhi with 6-7 seats, while the Congress would get 0-1 and the AAP none
- The BJP is predicted to make massive gains in Odisha, with 15-19 seats, while the BJD would be reduced to just 2-6 seats
- In Maharashtra, the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance is projected to get 38-42 seats, while the Congress-NCP+ alliance would be able to get only 6-10 seats
- In Karnataka too, the BJP is predicted to make big gains with 21-25 seats
- In Rajasthan, the BJP is predicted to sweep with 23-25 seats, while the Congress would get 0-2
- In Chhattisgarh, the BJP+ is predicted to get 7-8 seats and the Congress only 3-4
- In Jammu and Kashmir, the BJP is predicted to win 2-3 seats, the National Conference also 2-3, the Congress 0-1, and the PDP 0
(Follow exit polls results from Chanakya, News18-IPSOS, Times Now-VMR and Nielsen here.)
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Lok Sabha Elections 2019: What Has Happened So Far?
The 2019 Lok Sabha elections, one of the most bitterly fought ones so far, were contested in seven phases in April and May.
Voting commenced on 11 April and came to an end on 19 May across 542 constituencies, marked by controversial speeches across the political spectrum, questions raised over the Election Commission's functioning and reports of intermittent violence, especially in West Bengal.
The key states to look out for are Uttar Pradesh, with its 80 seats; Maharashtra, with 48 seats; West Bengal, with 42 seats; and Bihar, with 40 seats.
A three-cornered contest is being witnessed in UP, with the BJP taking on the Mahagathbandhan (SP+BSP+RLD) and the Congress. In Maharashtra, the Congress-NCP combine is fighting the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance.
Trying to make inroads into West Bengal, the BJP is locked in a bitter contest with the Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress in the state.
In Bihar, the RJD-Congress alliance (along with other smaller parties) is fighting the NDA coalition comprising Nitish Kumar's JD(U), BJP and Ram Vilas Paswan's LJP.
What The 2014 Exit Polls Predicted
In 2014, most exit polls showed an NDA victory, but barring Today’s Chanakya, none of them could correctly predict that the BJP led by Narendra Modi would storm to power with an absolute majority of its own, a feat achieved for the first time since 1984.
Here are there predictions for 2014:
India Today-Cicero
- NDA: 261
- UPA: 110
- Others: 150
CNN-IBN-CSDS
- NDA: 270
- UPA: 92
- Others: 159
India TV-CVoter
- NDA: 289
- UPA: 100
- Others: 153
News 24-Chanakya
- NDA: 340
- UPA: 70
- Others: 133
Actual Result:
- NDA: 336
- UPA: 60
- Others: 147
Aaj Tak-Axis My India Exit Poll 2019: Significant Details
The Aaj Tak-Axis My India exit poll has covered all the 542 constituencies that have gone to polls in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, and has surveyed more than 7 lakh voters (7,42,187).
Aaj Tak-Axis My India Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Andhra Pradesh
Here’s the Aaj Tak-Axis My India exit poll prediction for Lok Sabha elections in Andhra Pradesh:
- YSRCP: 18-20
- TDP: 4-6
- Others: 0-1
Aaj Tak-Axis My India Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Tamil Nadu
- Cong-DMK alliance: 34-38
- AIADMK+: 0-4
- Others: 0
Aaj Tak-Axis My India Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Karnataka
- BJP: 21-25
- Cong-JD(S) alliance: 3-6
- Others: 0-1
Aaj Tak-Axis My India Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Kerala
- UDF: 15-16
- LDF: 3-5
- BJP: 0-1
Aaj Tak-Axis My India Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Telangana
- TRS: 10-12
- BJP: 1-3
- Congress: 1-3
- AIMIM: 0-1
Lakshadweep and Puducherry Seats Predicted to Go to Congress
The lone seats in the Union territories of Lakshadweep and Puducherry are both predicted to go to the Congress, the Aaj Tak-Axis My India exit poll says.
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Maharashtra
- BJP+: 38-42 seats
- Cong+: 6-10 seats
- Others: 0-0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Gujarat
- BJP: 25-26 seats
- Cong: 0-1 seats
- Others: 0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Rajasthan
- BJP: 23-25
- Congress: 0-2
- Others: 0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Chhattisgarh
- BJP+: 7-8
- Congress: 3-4
- Others: 0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Delhi
- BJP: 6-7
- Congress: 0-1
- AAP: 0-0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Punjab
- Congress: 8-9
- BJP+: 3-5
- AAP: 0-1
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Himachal Pradesh
- BJP: 4
- Congress: 0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Uttarakhand
- BJP: 5
- Congress: 0
- Others: 0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Jammu and Kashmir
- NC: 2-3
- BJP: 2-3
- Congress: 0-1
- PDP: 0-0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for West Bengal
- TMC: 19-22
- BJP: 19-23
- Congress: 0-1
- Left: 0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Bihar
- BJP+: 38-40
- Congress+: 0-2
- Others: 0-0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Jharkhand
- BJP+: 12-14
- Cong+: 0-2
- Others: 0-0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Odisha
- BJP: 15-19
- BJD: 2-6
- Congress: 0-1
- Others: 0-0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Assam
- NDA: 12-14
- Congress: 0-2
- AIUDF: 0-0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Madhya Pradesh
- BJP: 26-28
- Congress: 1-3
- BSP: 0-0
India Today Exit Poll 2019 Prediction for Uttar Pradesh
- NDA: 62-68
- UPA: 1-2
- SP+BSP+RLD (Mahagathbandhan): 10-16