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Behind the Scenes of the Ali-Kuli Factor: Assam Elections 2016 

Will Migrant Muslims and migrant tea estate workers again play a decisive role in the Assam Assembly polls?

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Devakanta Barua, president of the Indian National Congress during the Emergency (1975-77) and known for his infamous proclamation “India is Indira. Indira is India,” had first mentioned the “Ali-Kuli” factor describing the vote banks of Assam (Ali – migrant Muslims and Kuli – migrant tea estate workers).

Decades have passed yet the ‘Ali-Kuli’ factor remains as relevant and crucial in the political narrative of Assam. The first phase of polling for the Assam Assembly elections concluded at 6 pm on 4 April. The second phase is due on 11 April. Will the Congress succeed in retaining its hold, or will it make way for the BJP-led coalition to come to power? Will the Ali-Kuli factor play the deciding role again?

The 2011 Census found that nine out of the 27 districts of Assam were Muslim-majority districts. On 15 August 2015, Tarun Gogoi, the Chief Minister of Assam, announced the formation of five new districts in the state, and on 26 January 2016, two more districts were announced, taking the total number from 27 to 34.

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