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Bihar Exit Polls: What The Wide Range of Predictions Really Means

Join The Quint’s Live with Sanjay Pugalia, Aditya Menon, Eshwar Ranjana & Shadab on YouTube, Facebook and Twitter.

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As voting ended for the third and final phase of the Assembly elections in Bihar, all eyes are on the exit polls to be declared on the evening of Saturday, 7 November.

With the narrowing popularity gap between Nitish Kumar and Tejashwi Yadav with each phase of polling, as surveys had indicated, the fight for the throne of bihar was expected to be neck-and-neck, and so is being predicted by all the major exit polls

The Times Now-CVoter exit poll predicted a hung house after the results. The Republic-Jan Ki Baat Survey gave 91-117 seats to the NDA i.e. the alliance between Chief Minister Nitish Kumar's JD(U) and the BJP. The ABP exit poll in association with CVoter predicted a neck and neck fight between the NDA and the Mahagathbandhan.

The India-Today- My Axis India is the only survey that has predicted a clear victory for the Mahagathbandhan.
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Watch The Quint’s Editorial Director Sanjay Pugalia, Associate Editor (Politics) Aditya Menon, Associate Editor (News) Eshwar Ranjana and Assistant Editor and Bihar Correspondent Shadab Moizee to get all the of the biggest exit poll numbers and analysis at one place.

The results for the three-phased elections, held amid the COVID-19 pandemic, will be declared on 10 November.

(At The Quint, we are answerable only to our audience. Play an active role in shaping our journalism by becoming a member. Because the truth is worth it.)

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