British Prime Minister Boris Johnson faces a frenzied week of activity in Parliament, and possibly in the courts, as he tries to woo rebellious lawmakers in time to meet the 31 October Brexit deadline.
Johnson has vowed to avoid needing yet another extension to that deadline, even though he has formally asked — in distinctly unenthused tones — for a delay that is being considered by European Union leaders.
EU officials haven't yet responded to his request for more time. They are torn between a wish to finally put the Brexit issue to bed and a devout desire to avoid the economic ramification of Britain leaving without a divorce deal in place.
Johnson on Sunday used surrogates to make the case that he likely has the votes needed to gain passage for his new Brexit plan and won't need any delay.
British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab told the BBC he believes that Johnson has enough support to get his deal through Parliament, but added the government would keep talking with its Northern Ireland ally, the Democratic Unionist Party, to persuade it to back the deal.
So far, the party, which holds 10 seats in Parliament, has refused to support Johnson’s agreement because it treats Northern Ireland differently than other parts of the UK.
“We'll keep talking to the DUP and see if there's any further reassurances that can be provided,” said Raab.
The DUP votes might well give Johnson a comfortable margin, but it seems steadfast in its opposition to the plan, which replaces an earlier divorce deal negotiated by Theresa May's government but rejected three times by Parliament.
More Drama Speculated on Monday
Monday will also feature more legal action, more arm-twisting, cajoling and veiled threats by Johnson and his ministers and more amendments designed by lawmakers to stymie Johnson's plan to have Britain leave the 28-nation bloc on 31 October.
In the midst of all this, EU leaders and officials across the English Channel were pondering whether to grant the British leader a Brexit extension that he doesn't even want.
As required by law, Johnson sent a letter to the EU late Saturday night seeking a delay to Britain's impending 31 October departure. He waited until the last possible moment, withheld his signature and immediately followed it with a signed letter indicating that he doesn't actually favor another Brexit extension.
“My view, and the government’s position, (is) that a further extension would damage the interests of the UK and our EU partners, and the relationship between us,” Johnson wrote to European Council President Donald Tusk.
His decision to send a second letter saying he doesn't really want an extension is likely to trigger court challenges from opponents who believe he intentionally set out to block Parliament's intent even if he technically complied with legal requirements.
The Court of Session in Scotland is already considering the matter and it may end up being decided in the UK Supreme Court, which in September ruled that Johnson had acted unlawfully when he suspended Parliament for five weeks as the Brexit deadline crept closer.
Scottish National Party legislator Joanna Cherry, part of a group that brought the earlier successful case against Johnson, said that the legal battle over Brexit continues.
“We’re back in court on Monday morning and it will be possible then to secure the court’s assistance if the prime minister has flouted the law and the promises he gave to the court,” she said.
‘Still Determined to Leave EU by 31 Oct’
The court action is aimed at keeping Johnson from taking Britain out of the EU without a deal.
Johnson has long declared that he plans to take the UK out of the EU on 31 October with or without a divorce deal, and his minister in charge of Brexit again emphasized that stance.
“We are going to leave by 31 October," Michael Gove insisted on Sunday. “We have the means and the ability to do so,” he added.
Gove also said that he was holding a special meeting to discuss Operation Yellowhammer, the government's “no-deal” planning apparatus, to make sure Britain is ready for an 31 October departure.
The government’s own analysts have warned an abrupt break with the EU could lead to recession, massive delays at British ports, and shortages in food and prescription medicine.
The EU's chief Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, said that Tusk would consult with other leaders “in the next days” about Johnson's request, but most signs indicate the EU would prefer an extension to an abrupt no-deal Brexit.
Finnish Prime Minister Antti Rinne, whose country holds the European Union's rotating presidency, said on Sunday “it makes sense to allow extra time.”
While Johnson's Conservatives are focused on getting more votes, the opposition Labour Party was calling for a second referendum on the whole question of leaving the EU.
Labour's Brexit spokesman Keir Starmer said it is “inevitable” that lawmakers opposed to Brexit will put forward an amendment seeking a second referendum — something strongly opposed by Johnson and his government.
“Whether it's this deal or any future deal, it's got to go back so the public can say, 'Do you want to leave on these terms?'” said Starmer.
“If so, then we do. If not, we remain,” he added.
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