The India Today-Axis My India survey released on India Today on Friday, 7 September, spells trouble for Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje in the upcoming Rajasthan polls, but places Madhya Pradesh CM Shivraj Singh Chouhan, and Chhattisgarh CM Raman Singh at a comfortable lead over the opposition candidates in the upcoming elections in these states.
The three states will all go to polls later this year, and the party from which the states’ next chief minister is, will have a decisive impact on not just these states, but also the 2019 elections.
Rajasthan
The survey questioned 9,850 people from 25 constituencies in Rajasthan. While the whole survey, namely the seat-sharing ratio were not revealed, the parts of the survey released on Friday indicate that Rajasthan will be a close race.
In Rajasthan, 35 percent of citizens said they would vote for current Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje to continue as the CM, spelling a tough task ahead for the Bharatiya Janata Party.
The Indian National Congress’ Ashok Gehlot is tied with Vasundhara Raje, with 35 percent saying they would prefer to see him as the state’s chief minister.
11 percent said they would vote for Congress’ Sachin Pilot.
3 percent said they would vote for the BJP’s Om Mathur and another 3 percent said they would vote for the BJP’s Rajyavardhan Rathore.
A whopping 48 percent said they wanted to see change in the state government’s work, with only 32 percent expressing satisfaction, and 15 remaining undecided.
Of Rajasthan’s citizens, 57 percent people said they would want to see Narendra Modi as prime minister, while 35 percent said they want to see Rahul Gandhi in the PM’s chair.
Forty-six percent of those surveyed in Rajasthan said they were satisfied with the central government’s work. Twelve percent said they were undecided. While a whopping 36 percent expressed dissatisfaction with the Centre.
Madhya Pradesh
The MP survey questioned 12,035 people from 29 constituencies, from 25 August to 4 September.
Forty-six percent said they would vote for current Chief Minister and BJP candidate Shivraj Singh Chouhan to continue as Madhya Pradesh’s chief minister.
Thirty-two percent said they would vote for the Indian National Congress’ Jyotiraditya Scindia.
Only 8 percent said they would vote for the Congress’ Kamal Nath.
The Congress’ Digvijaya Singh bagged 2 percent, and the BJP’s Uma Bharti got 1 percent.
In Madhya Pradesh, 41 percent of those surveyed expressed satisfaction with the state government, while 40 percent were unsatisfied, and 13 percent on the fence.
In the state, the survey stated that 56 percent people would want to see Narendra Modi as prime minister, while 36 percent would want to see Rahul Gandhi hold the post.
Forty-seven percent of those surveyed said they were satisfied with the central government’s work, while 34 percent were unsatisfied, and 13 percent said they were undecided.
Chhattisgarh
The survey said that 36 percent of Chhattisgarh’s citizens would vote for the Bharatiya Janata Party’s Raman Singh to continue as chief minister.
Twenty-one percent said they would vote for the Indian National Congress’ Bhupesh Baghel to be the state’s next CM, with 12 percent saying they would vote for the Chhattisgarh Janata Congress’ Ajit Jogi.
11 percent said they’d choose the Congress’ TS Singh Deo, with 2 percent choosing the BJP’s Saroj Pandey.
Only 39 percent of those surveyed in Chhattisgarh said they were satisfied with the state government’s work, while 34 percent were unsatisfied. Eleven percent remained on the fence as far as the state government goes.
In Chhattisgarh, the survey stated that 59 percent people wanted Narendra Modi to continue as prime minister while 34 percent said they would vote for Rahul Gandhi as India’s next PM.
Forty-one percent of people surveyed in Chhattisgarh said they were satisfied with the Centre’s work, while 30 percent said they were not satisfied, and 19 percent said they were on the fence.
(With inputs from Aaj Tak and India Today)
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