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Bangladesh doesn't have to knock off Australia on Thursday, 20 June, to reach the Cricket World Cup semifinals but it would be a massive step in that direction if it did.
Chances were missed against New Zealand and England, the only two losses in five group games for Bangladesh so far. Australia is the next chance, at Trent Bridge.
Bangladesh has only one win against Australia in 20 one-day internationals – in 2005 in Cardiff. Their captain Mashrafe Mortaza is the only survivor from either side. In that match, he had trapped Australian opener Adam Gilchrist for a duck.
Australia reacted to the shock defeat a week later by crushing Bangladesh by 10 wickets with 31 overs to spare. The Australians haven't lost to Bangladesh again, and never in the World Cup, and the odds are strong that the streak will continue on Thursday.
But this isn't the once-in-a-blue-moon Bangladesh of old. The players are breathing rarefied air at this World Cup. They posted their highest ODI score of 330 in their World Cup opener, and South Africa was flattered to get within 21 runs of them.
They went on to achieve their highest run chase, reaching 322 to demoralize the West Indies by seven wickets with eight overs left.
With able support from Mohammad Saifuddin (nine wickets), Mustafizur Rahman (seven wickets), and — off the bench — Liton Das (a 94 not out), Bangladesh has a growing belief that it has the depth and the fight to go far.
But Australia is also in high spirits, bolstered by the return to fitness of Nathan Coulter-Nile and, especially, all-rounder Marcus Stoinis.
He strained his left side while bowling against India 10 days ago and missed the wins against Pakistan and Sri Lanka.
Marsh became surplus after Stoinis bowled for an hour on Tuesday to prove he's recovered. Australia welcomed the sight, because the absence of the team's sole all-rounder unbalanced the side and made them leave out specialist spinners Adam Zampa and Nathan Lyon.
Part-time spinners Glenn Maxwell and captain Aaron Finch were employed, and Australia got away with it against Pakistan and Sri Lanka.
The Australians brought in left-arm spinner Ashton Agar from the A squad this week to bowl at the top order and remind them how Shakib, who has five wickets, play. Australia is coming. But Bangladesh is coming, too.
Australia: Aaron Finch (capt), David Warner, Steve Smith, Jason Behrendorff, Alex Carey (wk), Nathan Coulter-Nile, Pat Cummins, Usman Khawaja, Nathan Lyon, Shaun Marsh, Glenn Maxwell, Kane Richardson, Mitchell Starc, Marcus Stoinis, Adam Zampa.
Bangladesh: Mashrafe Mortaza (capt), Shakib Al Hasan, Soumya Sarkar, Tamim Iqbal, Mohammad Saifuddin, Mosaddek Hossain, Mushfiqur Rahim, Mustafizur Rahman, Rubel Hossain, Sabbir Rahman, Abu Jayed, Liton Das, Mahmudullah, Mehidy Hasan, Mohammad Mithun.