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In 2022, a staggering 17,817,281 petrol vehicles were registered in India. Among the new car buyers that year was Shabih Haider, a Delhi-based executive working for an elevator company, who purchased a brand-new red Volkswagen Taigun in October.
Less than three years into owning the car, Haider has recently been feeling anxious about its future, now that E20 petrol is being rolled out across the country. His concern deepened when he referred to the car manual, which clearly states: "Use only unleaded petrol containing a maximum of 10 percent bioethanol (E10) or a maximum of 5 percent bioethanol (E5)." The same warning was also printed on the fuel cap of his vehicle.
Fuel recommendation issued by Volkswagen for the Taigun purchased in October 2022.
(Accessed by The Quint)
The story begins on 8 June 2018, when the Government of India issued a Gazette outlining a roadmap to reduce the country’s dependency on imported oil and gas. The plan proposed a five-pronged strategy: increasing domestic production, adopting biofuels and renewable energy, enforcing energy efficiency norms, improving refinery processes, and promoting demand substitution.
As part of this roadmap, the government aimed to introduce E10 petrol—fuel containing a 10 percent ethanol blend—by 2022. According to official claims, this target was achieved by June 2022. Building on this, the roadmap set a target for 2030: the nationwide adoption of E20 petrol, which contains a 20 percent ethanol blend.
However, in 2022, the government amended this target through another Gazette notification, revising the timeline to 2025–26 for the full rollout of E20 fuel.
The report further said that 'vehicles with E20 tuned engines can be rolled out all across the country from April 2025.'
By April 2023, however, E10-compatible vehicles continued to be sold and registered across the country. According to official data—excluding Telangana and Lakshadweep, where records were not yet digitised till 2023—more than 50 million petrol vehicles were registered in India between 2020 and 2022.
With over a decade's worth of vehicles on the road, this raises concerns for millions of vehicle owners who purchased their vehicles when E10—or even lower ethanol blend, ie, E5—were the norm.
This mismatch between fuel rollout and vehicle readiness is where concerns and potential complications for car owners like Haider begin.
Fuel lid sticker of the 2022 Volkswagen Taigun, mentioning the E5/E10 fuel recommendation.
(Accessed by The Quint)
While ethanol and petrol are two different compounds, both release carbon dioxide and water upon combustion. However, the energy released per unit differs significantly between the two. Petrol releases between 44–46 MJ/kg (megajoules per kilogram), whereas ethanol releases only 26–30 MJ/kg, which is about 30–40 percent less than petrol.
Explaining the impact on vehicles to The Quint, Sundardeep Singh, an automobile expert based in Ludhiana, said, “In older, non-compliant cars, components such as the fuel pump, rubber parts in the fuel line, gaskets, and fuel injectors will wear out faster.”
He added, “The problem may not be immediate but will develop gradually, with repair costs varying by brand. This is primarily because ethanol is corrosive, leading to faster rusting and degradation in non-compliant cars that were not designed to handle E20 fuel.”
In the Indian automobile market, which is largely driven by the middle class, mileage still remains one of the key factors in choosing a vehicle. However, fuel efficiency has increasingly come under question.
The 2021 report by NITI Aayog and the Petroleum Ministry states that a study was conducted by the Automotive Research Association of India (ARAI), the Indian Institute of Petroleum (IIP), and Indian Oil Corporation to examine the suitability of a 20 percent ethanol–gasoline blend (E20) in in-use vehicles.
However, both experts and owners—who had already warned that E20 could affect non-compatible vehicles—remain unconvinced by official figures. Many point out that ARAI’s data often fails to match real-world conditions, noting that mileage figures claimed in controlled tests rarely reflect actual performance on Indian roads.
This gap between laboratory claims and real-world experience has fueled skepticism and concern among millions of vehicle owners facing the E20 rollout.
Explaining this point, Siddharth Vinayak Patankar, automobile expert and Editor-in-Chief at Acko Drive, told The Quint: "Even brand-new vehicles launched in the market base their fuel efficiency claims on ARAI tests, but these numbers rarely reflect real-world scenarios—and in most cases, they don’t. Over the years, consumers have grudgingly accepted this gap. Some of that scepticism is resurfacing now, especially with the reported drops in efficiency due to E20. Naturally, people are questioning the figures."
Diving into the technical aspect of the fuel efficiency debate, Patankar further said, “Whether test condition data is ideal enough to be accepted or not remains debatable and I accept that real-world data will never exactly match testing data. For instance, if I drive a 10-year-old car and notice a five percent drop in mileage, I probably won’t speak up. Those reporting 10–12 percent drops also don’t represent the entire population. This is where the gap between reported figures and lived reality becomes apparent.”
Patankar said that although a drop in efficiency is expected, the precise effect of E20 fuel on everyday vehicle performance is still uncertain, as there isn’t enough real-world data yet.
There is a growing unease among vehicle owners who are now facing the dual challenge of rising fuel prices and ethanol blending. While the government talks about energy independence, vehicle owners say this is coming at their financial and mechanical cost, which they hadn’t anticipated.
Haider voiced the frustration felt by many car owners: “Since 2018, the government has steadily increased ethanol blending in petrol—from 5 percent to 10 percent, and now to 20 percent. We’re no longer getting pure petrol, and prices have skyrocketed—from an average of Rs 72.84 per litre back then to over Rs 94 today, an increase of more than 30 percent."
Patankar sheds light on the disconnect between policy and perception: while oil bills for the exchequer matter at the national level, for everyday consumers, they barely register—which helps explain the outcry over E20.
Explaining how this could have been handled better, Patankar said, "The positive impact of E20 isn’t being reflected in our fuel bills. 20 percent blending means 20 percent ethanol, which has a very different per-litre cost compared to petrol. If the per-litre price of the blended fuel had actually come down, there would have been a general sense of relief among consumers."
India’s used vehicle market is estimated to be around $36 billion, and experts believe it will also take a hit, as most vehicles in this segment are slightly older and mostly E10 or E5 compliant.
The market was booming over the years because it gave affordability to the middle-class indian who couldn’t afford a new car.
72-year-old Tejinder Singh, a retired CSR professional, says that people like him, who no longer have a steady income after retirement, and those from the lower middle class who once relied on pre-owned cars, have had their dreams stolen.
Haris Ghani, a techie from Bangalore who bought a 2019 Kia Seltos last month, echoed the same sentiment. “I am now worried about the health of my car. Even my car manual says, ‘Do not use gasohol containing more than 10 percent ethanol. It may cause drivability problems and damage to the fuel system, engine control system and emission control system," he said.
Ghani also pointed out that his car manual clearly states that any damage or drivability issues caused by using fuel with more than 10 percent ethanol may not be covered under the manufacturer’s warranty.
Fuel recommendation issued by Kia for the Seltos 2019 model.
(Accessed by The Quint)
The Quint also reached out to second-hand car dealers in Delhi. They admitted they are under stress and are still trying to find a solution to the problem. As for sales data, they said the real picture will only emerge in the next quarter, which they fear might see a drop in sales.
The ethanol blending, apart from reducing energy dependency on other countries, the government says, is a step towards cleaner energy.
Environmentalists call this move a positive step, but they believe it’s important to look at how the plan and programme will progress from here, especially through the lens of sustainability.
From a sustainability perspective, another question arises: if fuel efficiency drops due to blending, people will need to refuel more often. Does that actually reduce overall petrol consumption? We don’t have the data yet, but logic suggests that if everyone ends up using more fuel, the gains from blending could be offset.
Patankar suggests, "Instead of reducing efficiency, stricter efficiency standards for new vehicles could have been a better way to help the national exchequer."
Until we have engineering data showing how vehicles perform in the real world, Murtugudde says, "the discussion is mostly about economics, incentives, and who actually benefits from the transition to E20. If poor people with older or non-compatible vehicles—like Uber and Ola drivers—are affected, then this would need better planning. It’s not wrong to start such a plan, but all the analysis needs to be done. Since this is a major transition, understanding who benefits, who loses, and who needs support is far more important.”
Looking at the country’s vehicle registration policy, the original E20 rollout deadline of 2030—or even 2033—appears far more reasonable.
The National Policy on Biofuels, announced in 2018, laid out a 12-year roadmap for introducing E20 petrol. Had automobile manufacturers been advised that year to make vehicles E20-compatible, vehicles bought in 2018 would reach their 15-year registration expiry around 2033.
This would have allowed older vehicles to phase out gradually, while E10 and E20 fuels could have been rolled out in a more coordinated and manageable manner.
To owners of E20 non-compatible vehicles, Patankar suggests: “Consumers need to be very regular with their service cycles. In fact, they should plan slightly shorter service intervals to ensure the vehicle is properly checked. Get your cars inspected thoroughly and pay attention to parts that may need repair or replacement before any major damage occurs. But yes, this could mean spending more on service and repairs.”
Since questions around compatibility, warranty, and possible modifications continue to loom, The Quint reached out to key automobile manufacturers operating in India — including Maruti Suzuki, Mahindra & Mahindra, Kia Motors, Tata Motors, and Volkswagen India — seeking their response to the concerns raised by vehicle owners and experts. The story would be updated once a response is received.